Fantasy Basketball: Category and Roto League Draft Tiers

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Preview Fantasy Basketball: Category and Roto League Draft Tiers

By André Snellings

These fantasy basketball rankings are built upon comprehensive season-long projections for nearly 400 NBA players. Unlike points-based leagues, category-based fantasy focuses less on sheer volume and more on specific statistical contributions like blocks, steals, and three-pointers. Players are also penalized for poor shooting efficiency, whether from the field or the free-throw line.

The value of a player`s contribution in any given category is directly related to its scarcity. For instance, steals are far less common than assists. Consequently, each steal a player averages will have a greater impact on their category ranking compared to each assist.

To illustrate, points are the most abundant category, meaning individual points contribute the least to these rankings. Conversely, blocked shots are the least frequent, giving each block significant weight in a player`s overall category ranking.

This phenomenon is evident in both the Top 150 category rankings and these detailed category tiers. You`ll observe that shot-blockers, as a group, rank notably higher in category tiers than they would in points-based systems.

Generally speaking, defensive specialists or prolific three-point shooters will see their stock rise in category rankings, while players who primarily generate high volume in points, rebounds, and/or assists might rank relatively lower compared to points-based formats.

Below is a breakdown of players into tiers, organized by position, based on preseason projections. While this guide provides valuable insights, it`s highly recommended that you take the time to create your own tiers based on your personal valuations. This simple 20-minute exercise can significantly enhance your draft preparation and give you a competitive edge in your league.

Point Guard

TIER 1
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Luka Doncic
James Harden
Trae Young
Cade Cunningham
TIER 2
Stephen Curry
Josh Giddey
Derrick White
Tyrese Maxey
LaMelo Ball
TIER 3
Dyson Daniels
De`Aaron Fox
Jamal Murray
TIER 4
Jordan Poole
Ja Morant
Jalen Brunson
TIER 5
Kevin Porter Jr.
Tyler Herro
Darius Garland
TIER 6
Anfernee Simons
Jalen Suggs
Payton Pritchard
CJ McCollum
D`Angelo Russell
TIER 7
Malik Monk
Donte DiVincenzo
Andrew Nembhard
Keyonte George
Scoot Henderson
TIER 8
Immanuel Quickley
Chris Paul
Isaiah Collier
TIER 9
Scotty Pippen Jr.
Egor Demin
Jrue Holiday
Ty Jerome

Thoughts on Point Guards:

  • The top two tiers feature significantly more point guards than any other position. This is likely because point guards often excel in two rare categories: steals and three-pointers.
  • While most top-tier point guards are franchise players, specialized contributors like Derrick White (excellent in three-pointers, steals, and even blocks for a guard) also find their way into these higher ranks.
  • Reigning steals champion Dyson Daniels joins All-Stars De`Aaron Fox and Jamal Murray in Tier 3. The presence of high-caliber point guards across almost all tiers, especially in Tiers 6 and 7, suggests you can find strong options at various points in the draft, a flexibility not often seen with other positions.

Shooting Guard

TIER 1
Anthony Edwards
TIER 2
Amen Thompson
Devin Booker
TIER 3
Donovan Mitchell
Jaylen Brown
Scottie Barnes
Desmond Bane
Coby White
TIER 4
Jalen Green
Trey Murphy III
Austin Reaves
TIER 5
Reed Sheppard
Mikal Bridges
Zach LaVine
TIER 6
Brandon Miller
Norman Powell
TIER 7
Christian Braun
Jimmy Butler III
Shaedon Sharpe
RJ Barrett
TIER 8
Buddy Hield
Klay Thompson
Keon Ellis
Bub Carrington
Devin Vassell
TIER 9
Cam Thomas
Stephon Castle
Bennedict Mathurin
Kyshawn George
Luguentz Dort

Thoughts on Shooting Guards:

  • Anthony Edwards stands alone in Tier 1, a testament to his leap to become the league`s highest-volume three-point shooter.
  • Tier 2 features Amen Thompson, whose excellent defensive categories highlight his all-around game, and Devin Booker, who provides a strong combination of offensive volume and efficiency.
  • Tier 3 is unique for having more shooting guards than any other position at that level, suggesting that if you prioritize other positions early, you could snag a strong shooting guard in rounds 3 or 4.
  • While Tiers 4-6 have a moderate number of players, Tiers 7-9 are again rich with shooting guard options. This implies that the best value for shooting guards can often be found in the mid-rounds (3-5) or later in the draft.

Small Forward

TIER 1
(nobody)
TIER 2
LeBron James
TIER 3
Jalen Williams
Cooper Flagg
TIER 4
Franz Wagner
Josh Hart
Miles Bridges
Deni Avdija
TIER 5
Michael Porter Jr.
OG Anunoby
Andrew Wiggins
DeMar DeRozan
TIER 6
Paul George
Jaden McDaniels
Brandon Ingram
Kawhi Leonard
TIER 7
Keegan Murray
Toumani Camara
Tari Eason
Tobias Harris
TIER 8
Matas Buzelis
Ausar Thompson
Cam Whitmore
TIER 9
Royce O`Neale
Herbert Jones

Thoughts on Small Forwards:

  • There are no small forwards in Tier 1. LeBron James drops to Tier 2 primarily due to his free-throw percentage.
  • Jalen Williams and rookie Cooper Flagg make up Tier 3. Given the scarcity at small forward and Flagg`s significant hype, he may be drafted earlier than his ranking suggests.
  • Tiers 4-6 contain more small forwards than any other position, offering a diverse range of specialists to fit various fantasy team builds.
  • The position becomes sparse again in the later tiers, particularly Tier 9. Based on this analysis, the middle rounds of fantasy drafts are the most opportune time to find value at small forward.

Power Forward

TIER 1
Giannis Antetokounmpo
TIER 2
Anthony Davis
TIER 3
Chet Holmgren
Pascal Siakam
Kevin Durant
Evan Mobley
TIER 4
Jalen Johnson
Paolo Banchero
Jaren Jackson Jr.
TIER 5
Kristaps Porzingis
Draymond Green
Naz Reid
TIER 6
Lauri Markkanen
Zion Williamson
Julius Randle
TIER 7
John Collins
TIER 8
Santi Aldama
TIER 9
Cameron Johnson
Jerami Grant
P.J. Washington

Thoughts on Power Forwards:

  • Giannis Antetokounmpo is the sole occupant of Tier 1, demonstrating his dominance across categories despite his free-throw struggles.
  • Anthony Davis is in Tier 2, with his injury history being the primary factor preventing him from reaching Tier 1.
  • Power forward is one of only two positions (along with point guard) that consistently features at least three default players in Tiers 3-6.
  • Conversely, power forward is the scarcest position from Tiers 7-9. While dual-eligible players can mitigate some of this scarcity, it strongly suggests that if you miss out on an elite power forward in the early rounds, you should prioritize drafting one in the middle rounds, as late-round value is hard to come by.

Center

TIER 1
Victor Wembanyama
Nikola Jokic
TIER 2
Karl-Anthony Towns
Domantas Sabonis
TIER 3
Myles Turner
Bam Adebayo
Nikola Vucevic
TIER 4
Alperen Sengun
Ivica Zubac
Alex Sarr
TIER 5
Walker Kessler
Joel Embiid
TIER 6
Jakob Poeltl
Jarrett Allen
Jalen Duren
Onyeka Okongwu
TIER 7
Donovan Clingan
Rudy Gobert
TIER 8
Nic Claxton
Zach Edey
Isaiah Hartenstein
TIER 9
Mark Williams
Kel`el Ware
Brook Lopez
Deandre Ayton

Thoughts on Centers:

  • Value among centers is heavily influenced by shot-blocking. This is why Victor Wembanyama outranks even the triple-double-averaging Nikola Jokic for the top spot in category rankings.
  • Centers who can combine shot-blocking with three-point shooting are even more valuable, explaining Myles Turner`s presence in Tier 3 and Alex Sarr`s in Tier 4.
  • Walker Kessler is notably placed in Tier 5 alongside Joel Embiid, an enigmatic former MVP with significant injury risks.
  • The center position offers two players in Tiers 1 and 2, and three in Tiers 3 and 4. Tier 6 expands to four options, and Tiers 8-9 collectively feature seven players, many of whom are strong shot-blockers. This suggests that if you miss out on the truly elite centers early, you can likely find solid shot-blocking role players to fill your center spot later in the draft.